0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4
0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$47.9K
Total PnL
$-298.9K
Realised
$-270.0K
Win rate
22%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
161537 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.7K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
20311 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.6K
$-101.54
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33117 shares @ 9.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.7K
$701.31
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31453 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.0K
$-464.76
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33782 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.5K
$-378.02
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
68516 shares @ 35.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$-22.1K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11021 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$-7.02
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20235 shares @ 4.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$108.36
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1482 shares @ 62.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$963.59
$37.11
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
933 shares @ 85.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$848.69
$54.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.45Jun 14, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.86Jun 14, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?$18.55Jun 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$18.48Jun 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$19.26Jun 14, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage$0.00Jun 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.85Jun 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$287.94Jun 14, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$9.49Jun 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$9.65Jun 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22.20Jun 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$567.26Jun 14, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.64Jun 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.67Jun 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.64Jun 14, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$9.95Jun 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$569.80Jun 14, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.70Jun 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage$224.66Jun 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.90Jun 14, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$364.7K
Trades
14
Buy share
18%
Window
Jun 8, 22:40 UTC → Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$38.3K@65¢Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5.1K@68¢Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$48.6K@99¢Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$25.8K@99¢Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$25.3K@70¢Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$28.2K@87¢Jun 8, 22:54 UTC
- SELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$18.4K@46¢Jun 8, 22:51 UTC
- SELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$24.5K@46¢Jun 8, 22:51 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$11.2K@57¢Jun 8, 22:41 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$81.1K@63¢Jun 8, 22:41 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$22.2K@66¢Jun 8, 22:36 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.8K@87¢Jun 8, 22:36 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.6K@69¢Jun 8, 22:34 UTC
- BUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.7K@89¢Jun 8, 22:34 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$364.7K
14 trades
30d volume
$364.7K
14 trades
Buy share
18%
Sample
medium
14 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
$189.7K · 52% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $56.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.