0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4
0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$78.9K
Total PnL
$-288.0K
Realised
$-269.9K
Win rate
23%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
30053 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$30.0K
$10.8K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
161514 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.7K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
19701 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.4K
$-98.49
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32745 shares @ 9.1¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.9K
$966.06
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32948 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.2K
$-486.84
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33782 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.5K
$-378.02
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
68516 shares @ 35.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-22.2K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11021 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$-18.04
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20235 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$981.39
$88.12
- YES
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
827 shares @ 53.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$826.30
$383.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?$9.38Jun 14, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$18.90Jun 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.77Jun 14, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5$1.99Jun 14, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jun 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.89Jun 14, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$139.63Jun 14, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$12.61Jun 14, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$16.18Jun 14, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5$2.07Jun 14, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland?$0.00Jun 14, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland?$0.00Jun 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$16.80Jun 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.20Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.05Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.05Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.05Jun 14, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$24.36Jun 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$17.71Jun 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.62Jun 14, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$364.7K
Trades
14
Buy share
18%
Window
Jun 8, 22:40 UTC → Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5.1K@68¢Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$38.3K@65¢Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$48.6K@99¢Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$25.3K@70¢Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$25.8K@99¢Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$28.2K@87¢Jun 8, 22:54 UTC
- SELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$18.4K@46¢Jun 8, 22:51 UTC
- SELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$24.5K@46¢Jun 8, 22:51 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$11.2K@57¢Jun 8, 22:41 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$81.1K@63¢Jun 8, 22:41 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$22.2K@66¢Jun 8, 22:36 UTC
- SELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.8K@87¢Jun 8, 22:36 UTC
- BUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.7K@89¢Jun 8, 22:34 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6.6K@69¢Jun 8, 22:34 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$364.7K
14 trades
30d volume
$364.7K
14 trades
Buy share
18%
Sample
medium
14 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
$189.7K · 52% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.