Disguised-Pajamas
0x426227d4a9c4ad5a1aae7f2706238f2154b9abaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$602.31
Realised
$530.99
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?
1053 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.0K
$3.77
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
655 shares @ 89.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$641.66
$52.42
- YES
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
558 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$530.70
$0.78
- NO
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
300 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$299.55
$17.55
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
593 shares @ 42.3¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$269.76
$18.90
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
316 shares @ 72.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$243.33
$14.26
- YES
Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?
233 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$230.74
$4.79
- YES
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
211 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$201.59
$-0.72
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
200 shares @ 91.8¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.19
$6.60
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
230 shares @ 81.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.82
$1.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$81.29Jun 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$24.38Jun 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Glasner be the next manager of AC Milan?$20.31Jun 14, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$89.06Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5$17.00Jun 14, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$25.25Jun 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$34.15Jun 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$35.64Jun 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$22.78Jun 14, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$46.18Jun 14, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$246.47Jun 14, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-2.5) AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$10.03Jun 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$19.59Jun 14, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$15.00Jun 14, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$128.18Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$40.00Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$0.00Jun 14, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$50.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$100.03Jun 14, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $59.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.