Bewitched-Optimist
0x42e53bec12a00ca43156031079a3f049d54b5ade
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$396.79
Total PnL
$-488.76
Realised
$33.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.81
$4.81
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
39 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$36.51
$6.51
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$31.87
$11.87
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$28.39
$8.39
- NO
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in May?
31 shares @ 81.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.32
$1.32
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
95 shares @ 21.1¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.97
$3.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.94
$-7.06
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.50
$2.50
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
374 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.12
$1.12
- YES
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
104 shares @ 19.2¢·now 18.3¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$18.98
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.396h ago
- YIELD$0.0010h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.302d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.162d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.122d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.132d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$20.552d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$105.263d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Braggadocious" in May?$25.183d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$30.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$3.134d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$2.094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$2.094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$2.094d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.104d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$2.104d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $15.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
