Fresh-Celebrity
0x4334ad2e5ca48c4e70381c5a5da254be7d0ce6f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$706.29
Total PnL
$-14.72
Realised
$2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
400 shares @ 97.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$373.80
$-15.80
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
180 shares @ 93.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.58
$-2.07
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.13
$1.47
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
50 shares @ 91.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.52
$0.63
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.75
$1.75
- NO
Will Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$14.50
$-2.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$7.10May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$168.65May 16, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$2.02May 16, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?$17.20May 16, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$1.42May 16, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$1.25May 16, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$1.33May 16, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$0.87May 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$0.90May 16, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$0.87May 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$2.31May 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$1.40May 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$1.60May 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$0.90May 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$1.40May 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$2.40May 16, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$0.00May 16, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?$0.00May 16, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$17.49May 16, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $22.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".