Suburban-Documentary
0x465c9fe82a6585983764cf718768a1ba368c6e53
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$434.68
Total PnL
$123.97
Realised
$453.86
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
764 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$179.54
$-34.38
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
282 shares @ 78.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$153.69
$-66.27
- YES
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
705 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.82
$-89.18
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
224 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.80
$8.96
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
10 shares @ 19.3¢·now 48.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.83
$2.90
- YES
Brex IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 9.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.08
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
723 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-151.83
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.45Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Jun 23, 22:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.83Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.72Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.74Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Jun 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$64.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMPortsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5$127.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Weird" or "Weirdo" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Silicon Valley" be said 2+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 8 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$0.00Jun 17, 21:03 UTC
- REWARD$5.33Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $156.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.