Gregarious-Comedy
0x46763efe923365323210a6ad2c01dabcf15d6065
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$305.77
Total PnL
$-554.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
315 shares @ 63.5¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$129.10
$-70.90
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
412 shares @ 12.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.88
$15.88
- YES
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
164 shares @ 18.3¢·now 15.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.37
$-4.63
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$-25.00
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.09
$-31.91
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
325 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.71
$1.71
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
376 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.10
$-0.89
- YES
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
732 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.22
$-23.78
- YES
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
662 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$5.29
$-74.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
837 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$93.15Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 8, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.43Jun 7, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$15.72Jun 7, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?$51.76May 31, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$121.62May 29, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 10 countries in 2026?$30.00May 27, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 26, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$30.86May 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$130.04May 18, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?$51.01May 1, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$104.52Apr 26, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$59.05Apr 24, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$46.70Apr 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$200.00Apr 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.00Apr 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.00Apr 23, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$40.00Apr 22, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$80.00Apr 21, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?$93.01Apr 20, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $74.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.