Spherical-Gravel
0x472977845c1861bd08e44f338bd33220a1a80b39
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$233.33
Total PnL
$-125.56
Realised
$6.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
360 shares @ 25.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.00
$-15.00
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
190 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.75
$-18.09
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$12.70
$0.50
- NO
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-26?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$8.85
$0.05
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 78.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.47
$-3.23
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
8 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$7.88
$1.63
- NO
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
20 shares @ 43.5¢·now 39.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$7.81
$-0.89
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
5 shares @ 67.9¢·now 34.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.87
$-1.79
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
43 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.702d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC win on 2026-04-26?$8.802d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$12.204d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$4.506d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$11.706d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?$6.326d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on April 20?$2.636d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on April 20?$1.066d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on April 20?$3.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$1.056d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$1.056d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$2.106d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$30.006d ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$28.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$90.009d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 17?$1.4910d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 17?$4.7010d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 17?$4.7010d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 17?$4.7010d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 17?$4.7010d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.