Fortunate-Dinghy-Observation
0x477a08edde6755dfba6800829cd89f6e02afec4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$80.22
Total PnL
$-22.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
109 shares @ 15.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$15.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
168 shares @ 14.9¢·now 8.2¢·exp May 16, 2026$13.78
$-11.22
- YES
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
37 shares @ 43.8¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.07
$-3.93
- YES
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 48.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.92
$0.88
- YES
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.63
$-3.38
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
3 shares @ 73.1¢·now 59.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.51
$0.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$1.04May 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before 2027?$1.04May 13, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$1.05May 13, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 13, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$5.22May 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.04May 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.03May 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.08May 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$5.14May 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?$2.06May 13, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?$3.11May 13, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.15May 13, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.29May 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$15.63May 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$10.43May 13, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 10, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".