Questionable-Nail
0x47eb9f12775a224033665da2265b69a3a71690ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$27.25
Total PnL
$-33.14
Realised
$-9.71
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
174 shares @ 1.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.57
$4.97
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
46 shares @ 4.9¢·now 7.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.37
$1.13
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
16 shares @ 12.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
256 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.92
$0.64
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 7.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
6 shares @ 19.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.61
$0.48
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
194 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.46
$-0.04
- YES
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
38 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$0.83May 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97May 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.32May 18, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?$0.68May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$0.45May 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.02May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?$0.05May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?$0.08May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$0.11May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?$0.33May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$0.42May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?$0.58May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$0.67May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?$0.73May 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?$0.77May 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?$0.99May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago White Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$1.07May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?$0.98May 18, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?$0.29May 17, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".