Hollow-Estimate
0x481d26886bb2c3f106ca59def5d063a17fbe48cf
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-163.36
Realised
$151.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3981 shares @ 16.8¢·now 17.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$704.59
$34.82
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1100 shares @ 30.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$357.50
$26.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
1221 shares @ 33.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$311.29
$-102.30
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1004 shares @ 37.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$285.99
$-91.48
- KNIGHTS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights
388 shares @ 63.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$153.40
$-93.74
- FLYERS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers
118 shares @ 43.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$110.41
$59.64
- YES
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1400 shares @ 4.7¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.70
$25.91
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1000 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.50
$-20.50
- GOLDEN KNIGHTS
Golden Knights vs. Utah
296 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-153.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0721h ago
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Utah$156.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$129.191d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$128.001d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$100.001d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$140.001d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$203.002d ago
- YIELD$0.082d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$192.002d ago
- YIELD$0.083d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$458.503d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$18.773d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$44.973d ago
- REWARD$1.984d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$292.004d ago
- YIELD$0.074d ago
- REWARD$0.194d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$19.504d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$39.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$22.504d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $85.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 21h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.