Frank-Harald
0x4904c7ffd87ab686568d71c7b4f5d68586ea65f2
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$316.34
Realised
$-3.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
536 shares @ 24.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$420.97
$290.97
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
773 shares @ 25.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$166.19
$-33.81
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
567 shares @ 11.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.67
$96.67
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
353 shares @ 28.3¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.41
$39.41
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
864 shares @ 11.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$90.71
$-9.29
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2381 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$84.29
$-15.71
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
720 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$79.51
$-0.36
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
968 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$52.26
$-0.70
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.84
$-20.16
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1343 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$24.17
$-0.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0221h ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- YIELD$0.033d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.494d ago
- YIELD$0.024d ago
- YIELD$0.025d ago
- YIELD$0.026d ago
- YIELD$0.037d ago
- YIELD$0.028d ago
- YIELD$0.029d ago
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79.8710d ago
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$0.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$100.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$5.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$10.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0212d ago
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released by June 30?$30.0012d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $36.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 21h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.