Even-Demand
0x4af30c8f8f8a1bf28f52d43f09644b47f981c181
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$23.63
Total PnL
$-9.41
Realised
$-1.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
24 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
23 shares @ 21.6¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.52
$-0.48
- YES
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-0.21
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.69
$-0.31
- YES
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-1.64
- YES
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
7 shares @ 28.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?
16 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?$3.12Jun 3, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?$8.33Jun 1, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?$1.09May 31, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06May 29, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.09May 26, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?$0.45May 25, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?$0.06May 25, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?$0.09May 25, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$7.71May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.38May 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.90May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?$0.01May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$2.08May 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.04May 16, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.80May 16, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.09May 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 15, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$0.23May 13, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.56May 13, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.