Sociable-Demur
0x4af725e1eebf20cd7060e0f3be6e98ba1ae07873
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$32.72
Total PnL
$7.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.23
$14.23
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.97
$7.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.60
$2.62
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.93
$0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 17?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 17?
55 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 17?
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.03May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.00Apr 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$1.00Apr 19, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?$1.00Apr 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?$1.00Apr 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$1.00Apr 19, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$1.00Apr 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$1.00Apr 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 16, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 16, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 16, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 16, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.05Apr 16, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Apr 16, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Apr 16, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.