0x4b1e2009fb2b7bfe6d57cf5ff2de0d26ca7b2cf2
0x4b1e2009fb2b7bfe6d57cf5ff2de0d26ca7b2cf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.04
Total PnL
$-5.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- NO
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYToronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks$1.07May 18, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers $0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 6?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$0.00May 17, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".