Fond-Havoc
0x4bb8a43e2c461ff666565782b521b15555b8eea6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-107.83
Realised
$47.23
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
978 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$978.00
$98.78
- HC SOCHI
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
977 shares @ 48.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$977.00
$504.13
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
36 shares @ 73.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$32.94
$6.66
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
3 shares @ 91.4¢·now 74.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$-0.50
- YES
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$-0.15
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
42 shares @ 51.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.97
$-20.45
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
559 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-67.08
- NO
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?
411 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-122.89
- UNDER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
404 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-76.76
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
274 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-120.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi$472.87Apr 23, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$76.76Apr 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$447.75Apr 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$836.00Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$369.60Apr 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$224.40Apr 11, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$145.00Apr 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$26.40Apr 11, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$477.60Apr 11, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$924.00Apr 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$289.05Apr 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$610.74Apr 11, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$88.00Apr 11, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$307.50Apr 10, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$565.50Apr 10, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$162.40Apr 10, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?$158.34Apr 9, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.3KApr 9, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.3KApr 8, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMXavier Musketeers vs. Clemson Tigers$314.50Apr 8, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $346.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".