Formal-Beard
0x4f637754e9d45c736498f064d2f1d5a302fb0f5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$13.89
Total PnL
$-379.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.33
$-1.66
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.56
$-14.44
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
7500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?
1856 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?
282 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?
230 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 19?
144 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.90Jun 8, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.40Jun 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?$5.00Jun 1, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$21.79Jun 1, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$62.22Jun 1, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$45.30May 20, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$52.34May 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.58Apr 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.38Apr 29, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$50.00Apr 28, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$56.13Apr 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$25.00Apr 27, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$25.00Apr 27, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5$5.00Apr 23, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 23, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 23, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 24?$15.00Apr 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23?$8.46Apr 22, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 22?$10.00Apr 22, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$53.54Apr 22, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $27.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.