Handy-Grasshopper
0x4fc19a907012ef58717ee7ceb1f89057f71aec92
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$25.1K
Total PnL
$323.87
Realised
$-233.65
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1760 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.7K
$32.38
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1240 shares @ 76.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$100.20
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
1040 shares @ 57.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$920.40
$322.40
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1040 shares @ 72.2¢·now 79.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$824.20
$73.32
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
860 shares @ 93.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$807.97
$0.43
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
880 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$796.40
$48.40
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
950 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$783.74
$42.75
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
770 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$767.30
$8.85
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
840 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$756.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
1130 shares @ 73.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$751.45
$-80.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.46Jun 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.05Jun 14, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.03Jun 14, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.36Jun 14, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$77.00Jun 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$123.97Jun 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$16.10Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$17.94Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$46.00Jun 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.99Jun 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$69.76Jun 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$41.83Jun 14, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$252.00Jun 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$78.17Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$132.25Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$156.13Jun 13, 01:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$1.28Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$215.21Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $85.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.