Buoyant-Offense
0x526e195886ad8b59e56acabb54295adecf813bd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$970.90
Total PnL
$-776.62
Realised
$-60.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
839 shares @ 79.1¢·now 67.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$563.30
$-100.68
- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
231 shares @ 59.9¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$134.16
$-4.30
- YES
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$98.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
137 shares @ 72.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$93.93
$-6.07
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
79 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$57.24
$-2.76
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
21 shares @ 66.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$16.55
$2.55
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.42
$-0.59
- YES
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
632 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-94.78
- NO
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
292 shares @ 56.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-165.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$60.58Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?$101.08Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$134.51Jun 13, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$624.12Jun 12, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$45.41Jun 12, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.2KJun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$140.68Jun 11, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$141.04Jun 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$2.04Jun 8, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?$187.73Jun 8, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$14.63Jun 6, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?$143.65Jun 4, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$7.05Jun 3, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?$7.27Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$14.00Jun 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?$4.95Jun 3, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota Governor Republican Primary runoff election?$8.91Jun 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?$0.43Jun 2, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$22.34Jun 1, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá?$22.71Jun 1, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $107.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.