Austere-Chutney
0x5374e5292623b79fb68647d8ed891def0d1a952a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-733.55
Realised
$-12.06
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
779 shares @ 63.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$549.19
$58.42
- NO
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
453 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$453.00
$276.33
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
491 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$370.70
$41.73
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
271 shares @ 49.8¢·now 47.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.94
$-5.01
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
21 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$21.00
$18.69
- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.40
$-13.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$0.84
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 shares @ 37.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$-0.36
- YES
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 11.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$0.09
- NO
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
1574 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-314.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$56.78Apr 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.70Apr 27, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.40Apr 27, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$61.92Apr 24, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.60Apr 24, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$136.04Apr 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$149.31Apr 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$21.02Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$357.88Apr 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$277.88Apr 11, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?$84.00Apr 9, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$193.76Apr 9, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$330.65Apr 9, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?$84.00Apr 9, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$490.77Apr 8, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$132.72Apr 8, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$314.80Apr 7, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$763.86Mar 30, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$60.48Mar 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$335.16Mar 30, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $258.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".