Talkative-Lemur
0x53de8afc569ee4c78cef2ae716317b614664b486
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$453.75
Total PnL
$-43.87
Realised
$170.07
Win rate
40%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?
195 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$195.00
$35.10
- YES
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
245 shares @ 80.8¢·now 41.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.82
$-97.14
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
138 shares @ 19.4¢·now 58.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.21
$54.44
- YES
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
112 shares @ 71.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.52
$-42.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
28 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 74.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.39
$-14.03
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.46
$-4.13
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.32
$-1.92
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 6.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.89
$0.83
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.16
$-1.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.00May 20, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00May 20, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$562.00May 20, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$10.44Apr 21, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?$109.35Apr 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$63.27Apr 21, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$32.78Apr 21, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$18.24Feb 9, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$4.75Feb 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$3.61Feb 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$4.94Feb 9, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$20.20Feb 8, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$40.17Feb 8, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$60.06Feb 8, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$159.12Feb 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$42.68Feb 8, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$127.40Feb 8, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$1.00Jan 11, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?$1.00Jan 11, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.00Jan 11, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $87.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.