Easy-Going-Urgency
0x5588f7349642817545d0f347d25c0bea3e5cf061
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$85.49
Total PnL
$-55.40
Realised
$6.68
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
90 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.76
$2.60
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
160 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
346 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.62
$-1.99
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
42 shares @ 19.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.13
$-0.91
- YES
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
120 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 17.4¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.50
$-2.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
61 shares @ 17.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.40
$-4.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
140 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$-1.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$-0.90
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$2.41Jul 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$0.13Jul 26, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$0.13Jul 26, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$0.13Jul 26, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$0.13Jul 26, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$0.61Jul 26, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$3.26Jul 24, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?$0.56Jul 23, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?$0.02Jul 23, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$1.24Jul 23, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$0.65Jul 23, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?$0.91Jul 22, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$8.00Jul 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?$0.15Jul 21, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$3.55Jul 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$1.51Jul 19, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?$11.74Jul 18, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$6.68Jul 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?$0.06Jul 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?$8.00Jul 13, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.