Sophisticated-Custard
0x55e2698ee0f78046c91668af9bccf4dda6410d8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-204.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
170 shares @ 70.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.65
$24.17
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
126 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$123.98
$40.78
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
119 shares @ 70.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$118.84
$34.54
- YES
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
250 shares @ 81.2¢·now 45.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$113.75
$-89.37
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
108 shares @ 92.9¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.44
$3.44
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
70 shares @ 82.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.35
$5.55
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 76.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.57
$11.12
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.02
$2.02
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
40 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.56
$6.76
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
47 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.84
$-1.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$26.48Jun 7, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$42.86Jun 3, 07:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?$30.00May 23, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$40.28May 23, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$35.79May 23, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36.72May 23, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.35May 14, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$14.92May 14, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $31.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 03:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.