Adventurous-Apparel
0x568251a921b5f76d17991310425e66dd450597af
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$39.9K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-32.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
28468 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$27.8K
$114.81
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
6177 shares @ 94.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.0K
$169.30
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3094 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$-15.47
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
875 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$809.51
$13.13
- YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
598 shares @ 91.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$564.38
$16.96
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
630 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$521.37
$-33.08
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
448 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$430.08
$-10.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2963 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$281.45
$-133.32
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
243 shares @ 93.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$225.99
$-1.70
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1077 shares @ 24.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.78
$-136.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$799.25May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$14.54May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$15.39May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$69.50May 18, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$21.5KMay 18, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$109.00May 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$441.11May 17, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$95.09May 17, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.9KMay 17, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.6KMay 17, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$4.8KMay 16, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$1.1KMay 16, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$228.26May 16, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$4.5KMay 16, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$126.50May 16, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?$78.57May 15, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.5KMay 14, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$226.08May 14, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$129.90May 14, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".