Grand-Bugle
0x580d4adeac2e48e13c157a602e322852515fb705
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$155.38
Total PnL
$-5.71
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$20.48
$0.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
826 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$18.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 90.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.29
$0.11
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25 shares @ 73.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.13
$-1.13
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$17.10
$0.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 75.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.32
$-0.02
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$8.30
$-0.40
- JAKE MATTHEWS
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)
15 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.58
$-0.82
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.50
$-0.50
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.91
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.51May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5$1.60May 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.80May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.74May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.56May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Astros (-1.5)$3.18May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.13May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.92May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.16May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.88May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.20May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.85May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.24May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.81May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.27May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.77May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.31May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.74May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.35May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.84May 18, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".