Baggy-Zoology
0x593be0909a063e9e308b25d7f7b541edb85370b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$14.10
Total PnL
$-4.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?$1.00Feb 10, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.00Feb 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)$1.00Jan 26, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 20, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?$1.00Dec 30, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 5, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.00Nov 25, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Transgender” this week? (November 10 - 16)$1.00Nov 11, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 4, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 28, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$1.00Oct 21, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?$1.15Oct 14, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.18Oct 14, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Oct 14, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?$1.09Oct 8, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 24?$1.11Oct 8, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $106K on September 1?$1.23Oct 8, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.