Shrill-Tusk
0x5be78a70576151eaf4d939c6d3667f2ca84b46ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$181.99
Total PnL
$-599.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1024 shares @ 74.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$174.08
$-585.73
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 24.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.73
$-15.91
- NO
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.71
$1.45
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 27.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.47
$0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Massive" during his next YouTube video?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMCharlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 5AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)$365.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$0.00Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $308.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.