Knobby-Methane
0x5d0f0c7061bd2fa848c294e8eea1ce4397b87d7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$126.42
Total PnL
$-20.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?
31 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.64
$-0.16
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
189 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.25
$-3.78
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
15 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.07
$0.82
- YES
Will Bad Bunny release an album in 2026?
21 shares @ 59.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.14
$-3.11
- NO
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11 shares @ 75.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.37
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?
9 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.10
$0.00
- JOAO FONSECA
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca
13 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$6.32
$-0.13
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.15
$-1.75
- YES
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
14 shares @ 55.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.58
$-3.17
- JIL TEICHMANN
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$4.40
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$5.08May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CR Brasil vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw?$3.05May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.85May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$6.08May 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Brasil vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw?$6.09May 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$8.16May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?$7.75May 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher$5.22May 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$15.33May 17, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2.09May 17, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$9.97May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$6.53May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Fonseca$6.54May 16, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00May 16, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5$0.00May 16, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5$0.00May 16, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00May 16, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5$0.00May 16, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00May 16, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00May 16, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".