Rich-Confusion
0x5d9a8829f011fd88b6b98506db0534b69c8a6d5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$15.10
Total PnL
$-5.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.28
$1.28
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$0.35
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.21
$0.24
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 10.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.09
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.84
$-0.13
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 35.4¢·now 26.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.03Jun 14, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMTech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 17?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 19?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 17?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 18?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 18?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 19?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 28?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 17?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 18?$0.00Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.