Separate-Eicosanoid
0x5e103934dcb85ecf21600af1afb0fe37a3009356
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$235.77
Total PnL
$-251.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
721 shares @ 46.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.11
$-187.21
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
197 shares @ 60.9¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.86
$-41.14
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
107 shares @ 27.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$12.80
$-16.60
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?$4.55Jul 19, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?$10.27Jul 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?$13.11Jul 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$41.16Jul 16, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$3.50Jul 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$3.60Jul 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$3.70Jul 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?$15.00Jul 3, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?$15.00Jul 1, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$18.66Jun 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.06Jun 1, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$5.18Jun 1, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$30.36May 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$6.78May 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.04May 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$29.05May 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$24.00May 23, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$21.58May 23, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$0.00May 23, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$0.00May 23, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.