Knowing-Mask
0x5ec945de64f30cd10a99affe133f338d25b575c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$29.84
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
3810 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-17.75
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1150 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
- LIU SHARKS
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
851 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
748 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-168.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?
639 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-16.22
- AKRON ZIPS
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
550 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-108.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
506 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-211.40
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$596.34Jul 16, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$16.39Jul 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$159.34Jul 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$42.06Jul 15, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$118.81Jun 23, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?$53.15Jun 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?$122.43Jun 4, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?$118.97Jun 3, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?$10.68Jun 1, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$586.34May 31, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1.0KMay 31, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$50.01May 30, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.2KMay 26, 18:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.35May 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$82.37May 25, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$74.00May 25, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$148.00May 25, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$67.34May 25, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$31.33May 24, 14:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.39May 22, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $137.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.