Idle-Pineapple
0x5fa5a4e1f73173f0a10ec704bddea03b08c6b7a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
181
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
439 shares @ 49.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$379.55
$163.16
- YES
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
484 shares @ 36.7¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.29
$-66.31
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$67.50
$17.50
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
95 shares @ 47.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$51.77
$6.67
- NO
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
75 shares @ 44.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.88
$16.32
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
95 shares @ 40.4¢·now 37.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.01
$-2.36
- YES
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
90 shares @ 50.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$27.45
$-17.55
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.60
$-0.85
- YES
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
80 shares @ 32.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.20
$-10.42
- YES
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 20.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.97
$-12.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$1.40Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$4.20Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$1.40Jul 29, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$1.40Jul 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$2.20Jul 28, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.50Jul 28, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.50Jul 28, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?$0.21Jul 28, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.98Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$0.77Jul 27, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$910.56Jul 27, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$7.50Jul 20, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$5.00Jul 20, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$12.50Jul 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.50Jul 19, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$5.00Jul 19, 11:02 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.75Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$12.50Jul 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$12.50Jul 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$5.00Jul 18, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.