Immaterial-Actress
0x605c17294eb7dba26a4f205eb6180853185383dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$251.58
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- VIRGINIA CAVALIERS
California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers
831 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$831.00
$84.76
- NO
Will Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
756 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$756.00
$249.48
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
485 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$485.00
$3.00
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
292 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$223.38
$18.98
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
88 shares @ 75.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.20
$13.20
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
89 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$76.98
$5.79
- YES
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?
47 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$47.00
$7.05
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by March 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.00
$10.73
- YES
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
49 shares @ 91.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.09
$-24.50
- NO
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.00
$3.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$669.08Apr 11, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$8.52Apr 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$513.48Mar 29, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$305.50Mar 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.40Mar 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$113.75Mar 25, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$423.04Mar 24, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$224.48Mar 24, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$156.40Mar 24, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$125.72Mar 24, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$121.23Mar 23, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$6.72Mar 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$113.82Mar 21, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$391.85Mar 20, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$3.61Mar 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$18.41Mar 19, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$365.30Mar 19, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$5.20Mar 18, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$511.88Mar 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$337.20Mar 16, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $186.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".