Aggravating-Sculptural
0x610e09f19c713396f3a59f1bc69981d1bb825646
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$23.15
Total PnL
$-30.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 75.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 75.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 86.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$1.01May 4, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$1.00May 4, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.00May 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$1.00May 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.02May 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.00May 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 4, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 4, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?$1.01May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$1.01May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$1.01May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.02May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.03May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$1.03May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.05May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$1.08May 4, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.12May 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.00Apr 25, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.