Pessimistic-Wire
0x661d68b8cdf96573222e0c6af673484647dcd35f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$746.33
Total PnL
$-247.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
194 shares @ 56.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$132.87
$23.19
- NO
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
450 shares @ 21.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$105.75
$11.25
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.39
$1.39
- NO
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
240 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$97.20
$1.20
- NO
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 33.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$82.50
$-16.50
- NO
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 36.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$70.50
$-37.50
- NO
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
220 shares @ 47.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$68.20
$-35.20
- NO
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
299 shares @ 32.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$49.34
$-46.35
- NO
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
170 shares @ 59.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.25
$-79.04
- NO
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
450 shares @ 10.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.32
$-31.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.48May 25, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.39May 21, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.23May 21, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.17May 21, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$33.02May 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.88May 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.47May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.16May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBillions FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.31May 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBillions FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.46May 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBillions FDV above $100M one day after launch?$18.00Apr 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$67.70Apr 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?$49.61Apr 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 21, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?$59.73Apr 19, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$51.99Apr 19, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$6.24Apr 19, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.48Apr 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$52.36Apr 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.44Apr 10, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.