Cold-Deliberation
0x66be394004244217cf8d8784faed1fdc5ae5e5f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$114.05
Total PnL
$-19.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
21 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$21.14
$1.14
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?
21 shares @ 98.7¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
21 shares @ 88.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$19.86
$0.86
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 75.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.86
$4.86
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
17 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$16.44
$2.44
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
23 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$16.08
$-0.12
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
28 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?$21.01May 14, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$14.00May 14, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$20.49May 14, 13:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?$15.19May 4, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$20.05May 4, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?$19.09May 4, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$16.35May 4, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$2.00May 4, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$39.05May 4, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $26.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".