0x69730a4f80d4e6522768c8f555eaabd408cb53ca
0x69730a4f80d4e6522768c8f555eaabd408cb53ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-118.34
Realised
$101.62
Win rate
50%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
96 shares @ 70.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$83.32
$15.02
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
75 shares @ 63.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.87
$20.03
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
75 shares @ 62.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.75
$19.75
- NO
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
65 shares @ 84.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$65.11
$10.06
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
122 shares @ 30.8¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.11
$26.36
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
62 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$62.09
$1.91
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
75 shares @ 73.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.89
$6.88
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
63 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.51
$2.01
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
88 shares @ 54.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$49.43
$1.52
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CA-51 House seat?
50 shares @ 73.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.88
$11.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$25.00Jul 10, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
48 closed markets, 50% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.