Fixed-Toy
0x6b12594662f17411d0d07eb6ff759d1bb38aada4
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$63.60
Total PnL
$-29.73
Realised
$-4.49
Win rate
14%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.31
$6.40
- NO
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 29.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.57
$7.46
- YES
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 56.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.09
$3.11
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.01
$2.96
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.42
$1.86
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
6 shares @ 87.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.53
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$4.43
$2.21
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.40
$0.45
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.13
$0.12
- YES
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.72
$1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.00Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.05Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.95Jun 11, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$4.35Jun 10, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?$0.69Jun 9, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?$3.37Jun 9, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$3.24Jun 8, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$4.17Jun 7, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.09Jun 7, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.83Jun 7, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.87May 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.45May 14, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.08May 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.51May 14, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.52May 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.22May 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.27May 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.71May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.77May 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.40May 12, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.