Untried-Grasp
0x6d178c59c89f883efb209521529f881280ae0e2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-267.58
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
812 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$812.00
$112.87
- YES
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?
286 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$285.51
$214.13
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
118 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$118.00
$1.30
- NO
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.50
$23.50
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
317 shares @ 29.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.63
$-52.30
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
315 shares @ 23.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.20
$-67.25
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
43 shares @ 30.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.78
$-11.12
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.13
$-0.13
- NO
Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?
838 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-184.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$17.48Apr 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$109.72Apr 23, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$141.86Apr 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?$16.24Apr 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?$74.48Apr 13, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?$1.44Apr 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$353.15Apr 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$468.12Apr 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$105.41Apr 12, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$1.98Apr 12, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$78.26Apr 12, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$70.52Apr 12, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$699.13Apr 12, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$363.24Apr 12, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?$1.0KApr 12, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$566.62Apr 12, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$101.70Apr 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$4.50Apr 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$667.68Apr 11, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Faze" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$376.68Apr 11, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $246.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 08:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.