Peppery-Gripper
0x6e902162103e580a06d2bab005a69daf8b123d4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$21.48
Total PnL
$-1.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.78
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2 shares @ 88.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- NO
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 88.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
1 shares @ 89.1¢·now 80.2¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.27Jul 24, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.78Jul 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$0.10Jul 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany participate in Eurovision 2027?$1.00Jul 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.01Jul 17, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$4.76Jul 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.49Jul 14, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.43Jul 2, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$2.32Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jul 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.06Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 3, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev$2.02Jun 2, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$1.00Jun 2, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev$2.00Jun 2, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$1.02May 16, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$1.12May 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.00May 7, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.