Queasy-Vendor
0x6fec0fd0e5562f0ca9a709417d4492aadac43be3
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$439.7K
Total PnL
$170.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
327367 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$327.2K
$491.05
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
34830 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.8K
$17.41
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
30000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.9K
$75.00
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22941 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$22.9K
$32.37
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
19485 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.5K
$9.74
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
3624 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$3.6K
$-5.44
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?
1542 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.5K
$-1.54
- YES
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
194 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$190.65
$0.77
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.53
$-0.02
- YES
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
5000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-145.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$999.00Jul 1, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?$814.04Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?$2.48Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)$553.17Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?$4.99Jul 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?$263.24Jul 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$13.2KJul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$27.6KJul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$469.82Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$8.2KJul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$13.8KJul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP all time high by June 30, 2026?$25.0KJul 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$38.9KJul 1, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?$72.09Jul 1, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?$2.0KJul 1, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.0KJul 1, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.12Jul 1, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45.53Jul 1, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$204.25Jul 1, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$399.60Jul 1, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$157.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 21, 03:30 UTC → Jun 30, 09:46 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$143.5K@100¢May 21, 03:28 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
$143.5K · 91% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.