0x700974a3cddf529e577753934d291174d285390a
0x700974a3cddf529e577753934d291174d285390a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$500.41
Total PnL
$-251.43
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
40 shares @ 2.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$36.60
$35.42
- YES
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?
40 shares @ 6.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$36.60
$33.93
- YES
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$36.40
$16.40
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$36.20
$16.20
- YES
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$34.60
$14.60
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
50 shares @ 3.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$33.25
$31.46
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
40 shares @ 16.7¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$30.42
$23.75
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
49 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$28.91
$4.20
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
40 shares @ 1.8¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.18
$26.48
- YES
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
40 shares @ 3.1¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$23.00
$21.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$3.08May 28, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$5.18May 28, 23:35 UTC
- CONVERSIONCalifornia Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner$30.00May 28, 23:17 UTC
- SPLITWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?$30.00May 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$2.37May 28, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?$0.97May 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% and 9%?$3.60May 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$4.94May 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$9.90May 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$7.20May 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?$6.30May 28, 21:01 UTC
- CONVERSIONCalifornia Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner$30.00May 28, 21:01 UTC
- SPLITWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?$30.00May 28, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$14.51May 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$1.35May 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?$1.28May 28, 19:19 UTC
- CONVERSION2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory$30.00May 28, 19:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?$30.00May 28, 19:05 UTC
- CONVERSIONIván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?$30.00May 28, 18:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Iván Cepeda win less than 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$30.00May 28, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".