Improbable-Alpenhorn
0x70edaae5e524969c9853237e2c467b6fc6c2b706
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.64
Total PnL
$-14.99
Realised
$-1.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.93
$-0.26
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 38.9¢·now 28.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
15 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 2, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 2, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 2, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.32Jun 2, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$6.47Jun 2, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$11.84Jun 2, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.26May 30, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.02May 30, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$7.33May 19, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLPep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?$0.02May 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.02May 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.01May 14, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.02May 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.70May 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.04May 6, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.02May 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.04May 5, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.39May 5, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.01May 3, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.18Apr 29, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".