Frozen-Humanity
0x710a0ddc5bd0d1999e69e14e2e2e6000dca097b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$62.85
Total PnL
$1.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
11 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.38
$0.38
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 93.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3 shares @ 88.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-1.27
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.85
$0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?$1.02Jul 18, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum flipped in 2026?$0.00Jul 13, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump shake hands with Javier Milei at the World Economic Forum?$0.00Jul 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.02Jul 9, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$10.47Jul 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.00Jul 9, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$6.00Jul 9, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?$1.01Jul 9, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Elon baby by June 30?$5.32Jul 9, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$12.06Jul 9, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?$1.00Jun 29, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$7.69Jun 29, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$14.49Jun 29, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Elon baby by June 30?$5.01Jun 10, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$10.00Jun 10, 13:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.