Winged-Cartload
0x716257cea63ecbe289b582cbadaef20ef5b4f2b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$195.67
Total PnL
$-795.61
Realised
$68.90
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
701 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.62
$-45.38
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1055 shares @ 10.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.92
$-49.08
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.43
$-3.57
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.93
$4.93
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
663 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.30
$-37.67
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.65
$0.65
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
408 shares @ 8.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.49
$-31.51
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.33
$0.33
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
118 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$-0.29
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$18.60May 17, 10:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".