Third-Manufacturing
0x717a8b61716626a8f829bc4a7da122244ed1977c
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
10
Open notional
$538.69
Total PnL
$-762.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
1304 shares @ 29.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.01
$-214.99
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
798 shares @ 31.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.60
$-113.40
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
537 shares @ 19.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$64.38
$-41.62
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
373 shares @ 17.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$63.47
$-2.13
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
613 shares @ 18.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.24
$-57.76
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.25
$-68.75
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
274 shares @ 27.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.70
$-64.30
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?
754 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$-13.95
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
583 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
121 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$140.0017d ago
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?$59.4017d ago
- TRADESELLWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $80.7417d ago
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$46.0029d ago
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.0037d ago
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by January 31?$0.0037d ago
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$0.0037d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$45.1038d ago
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.7355d ago
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$176.0056d ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$236.0056d ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$44.0060d ago
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$43.4162d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$115.0064d ago
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$74.0072d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$100.0072d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?$23.0074d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?$116.0075d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$102.0077d ago
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$101.6577d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $66.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 101d ago
- Last active
- 17d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.