Puny-Journal
0x722f25def2cd869283f4607f08657f77d2acf17f
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$319.99
Realised
$-3.01
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
702 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$702.00
$182.52
- NO
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
736 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$677.86
$89.06
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?
157 shares @ 67.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$147.89
$42.70
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$99.95
$8.95
- NO
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
30 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.27
$2.87
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-2.31
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
4 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.66
- YES
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.08
$-0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shelly deZevallos be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill HOTU qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? $0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Awawat win the Orderly trading competition?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pluribus win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson say "Polymarket" while tripping balls?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWatford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMQuerétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$0.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$329.00Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $220.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.