Deficient-Ark
0x730da7d292794217736d5e4c4653c6cf0473d448
Quality score
95/100
Open positions
20
Open notional
$37.2K
Total PnL
$877.23
Realised
$-139.76
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
6750 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$6.8K
$171.17
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
5792 shares @ 88.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$352.22
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
5000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.0K
$77.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
4000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.0K
$106.00
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
3200 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$139.80
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
3000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$45.00
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2700 shares @ 75.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$312.16
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3039 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$45.59
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2250 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-98.93
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2097 shares @ 53.4¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$137.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$3.384h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$4.914h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$5.7410h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$15.1414h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$1.8K15h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?$100.0018h ago
- REWARD$1.2918h ago
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$7.8K1d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$5.011d ago
- REWARD$2.062d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$99.942d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.202d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$135.652d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.042d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$33.522d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$160.082d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$1.7K2d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$73.332d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$2.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$7.332d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $650.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.