Incredible-Source
0x744eb7bc29b1fe14cd5dc4f58b8637f919824c43
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$156.37
Total PnL
$-860.89
Realised
$-805.82
Win rate
23%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
20 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.19
$0.23
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
19 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.55
$0.06
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 72.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.63
$0.91
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
58 shares @ 32.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$-9.79
- YES
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.92
$0.02
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
6 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.22
$0.45
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.12
$0.13
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.51
$-0.66
- NO
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.18
$-0.03
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
33 shares @ 10.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.17
$0.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$0.28Jun 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.20Jun 14, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?$2.69Jun 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$1.09Jun 13, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.43Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.52Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.52Jun 13, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.11Jun 13, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$1.10Jun 13, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.10Jun 13, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$2.06Jun 13, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$4.85Jun 13, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$3.02Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$3.21Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$4.82Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$1.70Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.14Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.14Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.