0x763f9fbc90e2270b4a66a7bd4fcebed6f7d4b210
0x763f9fbc90e2270b4a66a7bd4fcebed6f7d4b210
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$121.05
Total PnL
$-8.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 51.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$12.78
$4.78
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.88
$1.35
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.72
$2.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
10 shares @ 77.4¢·now 84.4¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$8.50
$0.70
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
11 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 56.6¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.28
$-1.13
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
8 shares @ 79.7¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
11 shares @ 62.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.81
$-1.19
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.50
$0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$7.89Jul 6, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 6, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of July 6 2026?$6.72Jul 6, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$0.00Jul 4, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 4, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$0.00Jul 1, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$5.08Jul 1, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$12.50Jul 1, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary$9.76Jun 30, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$10.11Jun 27, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?$9.08Jun 25, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?$4.25Jun 23, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$5.87Jun 23, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$7.11Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.82Jun 22, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$14.76Jun 21, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$1.76Jun 21, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$3.80Jun 20, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.