Willing-Panic
0x76f5a2d9f159a1aab43c0e86a0d2f8c2c941a0c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$48.08
Total PnL
$4.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
24 shares @ 51.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$24.29
$11.84
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.83
$1.94
- NO
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.81
$-0.27
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$0.70
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
49 shares @ 3.5¢·now 5.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.65
$0.93
- NO
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.42
$-1.48
- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.67
$0.38
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
76 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.56
$-0.95
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.17
$0.09
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
215 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.32
$-5.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.89May 11, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$2.59May 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$7.02May 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.77May 7, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.70May 7, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.34May 7, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$7.00May 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$6.98May 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.29Apr 21, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$5.45Apr 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$7.00Apr 21, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$4.08Apr 21, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$6.99Apr 21, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$3.90Apr 20, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00Apr 20, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00Apr 20, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMSenator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?$5.03Apr 20, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.33Feb 20, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Jan 27, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.23Jan 25, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.